The Self-Reliant Garden
chapter 03 · water & home · part 7 of 9 · field note · 11 September 2026

This week's drought map, and your water plan on top of it

In the map week of 8 September 2026, the U.S. Drought Monitor puts 101.8 million people inside an area it rates at moderate drought or worse, and 187.4 million inside an area rated abnormally dry or worse. Forty-six of the fifty-two states and territories it covers have some part of them in moderate drought. This page gives you your own state's five numbers, the people behind them, and how fast they moved, so that the map stops being weather news and starts being an input to a plan.

The five bands, and how they moved

Pick a state. The percentages are the share of its area in each class or anything worse, straight from the Drought Monitor, and the count is its own population figure. The three trend numbers compare the same measure, D1 or worse, with a week ago, a month ago and the same week last year, which is the comparison that tells you whether this is a dry spell or a direction.

of the state, at this level or worse
people in moderate drought or worse
the same week last year
D0 abnormally dry or worse
D1 moderate or worse
D2 severe or worse
D3 extreme or worse
D4 exceptional

Source: U.S. Drought Monitor, produced by the National Drought Mitigation Center at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln with the U.S. Department of Agriculture and NOAA. Map week of 8 to 14 September 2026, read on 11 September 2026. Percentages of area and counts of people are the Drought Monitor's own and are cumulative, so D1 means D1 or anything worse. The only arithmetic of ours on this page is adding the state populations together for the national figure. The live map is at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.

D0 is not drought, and that matters

The Drought Monitor is not a rainfall measurement. It is a weekly judgement, made by a rotating set of authors who read dozens of indicators at once: precipitation, soil moisture, streamflow, reservoir and groundwater levels, snowpack, and reports from people on the ground. That is why it can disagree with your rain gauge, and why it is more useful than one.

D0, abnormally dry. Not a drought class. It marks land going into drought, with short-term dryness slowing planting or growth, or land coming out of one, with deficits still unrecovered.

D1, moderate drought. Some damage to crops and pastures, streams and wells running low, and voluntary water-use restrictions requested. This is the line most of this page uses.

D2, severe drought. Likely crop or pasture losses, common water shortages, restrictions imposed rather than requested.

D3, extreme drought. Major losses, widespread shortages and restrictions.

D4, exceptional drought. Exceptional and widespread losses, shortages in reservoirs, streams and wells creating water emergencies. This week it covers part of twelve states, led by Colorado at 13.5 per cent of its area and Oklahoma at 13.1.

The percentages are cumulative on purpose. A state with 74 per cent in D1 has 74 per cent in moderate drought or worse, not 74 per cent stuck at exactly moderate.

Every state, the week of 8 September 2026

Sorted by the share of the state in moderate drought or worse. The last column is the same measure a year ago, which is where the story usually is: Oklahoma went from 1.8 per cent to 99.8, Louisiana from 0.1 to 81.4, and Minnesota from nothing at all to 70.7.

StateD0+D1+D2+D3+D4People in D1+D1+ a year ago

Source: U.S. Drought Monitor (NDMC, USDA, NOAA), map weeks of 8 September 2026 and 9 September 2025, read 11 Sept 2026. All figures are cumulative percentages of state area, except the people column, which is the Drought Monitor's own population estimate for D1 or worse.

Three honest uses for this

Know whether your plan is being tested. A rain-fed plan is sized on an average year. The rain barrel calculator uses your state's 1991 to 2020 average rainfall, which is exactly the number a drought is a departure from. If your state sits high on this table, the roof is giving you less than that page assumes, and the gap is widest in the months you would most want the water.

Read the trend, not the week. One week means almost nothing; a year means a great deal. New Hampshire went from 19.2 per cent to 54.6 in seven days, which is weather. Oklahoma went from 1.8 per cent to 99.8 in twelve months, which is not. The tool above gives you both so you can tell them apart.

Do the cheap thing before the clever one. Drought does not change the order of operations in this chapter. What you have stored still matters most, what your roof catches still comes second, and pulling water out of the air is still the hardest way to get it, which part vi puts numbers on. If the map is moving against you, the useful reaction is to check the storage you already have and its rotation, not to buy a machine.

When the well is the thing that runs out

The map says something about a region; a dry well says everything about one house. This is a homeowner walking through his own well going dry and what he did next. It is his work and his conclusions, shown here with his embed enabled, and we make no prediction about any well including yours.

Video by a creator we don't own
"Our Well Dried Up! Here's What I'm Doing About it!" by MrFixItDIY on YouTube. His situation and his choices, not ours, and not advice for your well. Anything drawn from a low or disturbed well needs treatment before drinking; that is part viii of this chapter.

Questions people ask

How many people in the United States are in drought right now?
For the map week of 8 to 14 September 2026: 101,768,428 people in D1, moderate drought, or worse, and 187,390,605 in D0, abnormally dry, or worse. Those are the Drought Monitor's own population figures, added up across the 50 states, the District of Columbia and Puerto Rico.
What do D0, D1, D2, D3 and D4 mean?
Abnormally dry, moderate, severe, extreme and exceptional. D0 is not a drought class; it marks land heading into drought or still recovering from one. The percentages are cumulative, so 74 per cent D1 means 74 per cent in moderate drought or anything worse.
Does drought mean my well will run dry?
Not on its own, and nothing here predicts anything about a specific well. The map is a regional judgement; a well depends on its depth, its aquifer and the draw on it. What the map tells you is whether conditions around you are unusual and how fast they changed.
Is this map live?
No, and it says so on every figure. This is the map week of 8 September 2026. A new map is published every Thursday with data through the previous Tuesday, and the live one is at droughtmonitor.unl.edu. We refresh this page when we publish, not minute by minute, because a page that pretends to be live and is not is worse than a page with a date on it.
Why does the Drought Monitor disagree with my rain gauge?
Because it is not a rainfall measurement. It blends precipitation with soil moisture, streamflow, reservoir and groundwater levels, snowpack and local reports, and a single wet week rarely moves a class. That blend is the reason it is useful for planning and a poor substitute for your own gauge for gardening.

Last updated: 11 September 2026. Figures are the U.S. Drought Monitor's own for the map week shown, with the date we read them. Nothing here is a forecast.

How we stay honest: every percentage and every count on this page is the U.S. Drought Monitor's own, for the map week stated, with the date we read it. The only arithmetic of ours is adding the state population figures into a national one, and we say so. We make no forecast, no claim about any particular well or water supply, and nothing here is engineering or legal advice about water use where you live. The video belongs to the creator credited above.